Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 358.116560 407.013110 461.664730 527.558041 605.222666 694.302855 804.857300
2025-07-20 296.116971 362.271473 443.229156 550.782420 691.716910 872.648762 1126.689849
2025-07-27 256.428918 328.471620 421.840682 553.967807 739.848219 997.842398 1393.669422
2025-08-03 222.332067 294.895922 393.163968 539.253884 756.758838 1078.505862 1610.322871
2025-08-10 197.556057 269.755870 371.206692 528.512917 774.531256 1159.589789 1840.591041
2025-08-17 185.120692 259.929674 368.869418 544.917161 834.105807 1313.471249 2223.112309
2025-08-24 170.265811 244.635027 356.192320 542.846103 862.580073 1419.665704 2545.032607
2025-08-31 156.164466 228.872567 340.779790 533.818516 877.042528 1502.584509 2841.228832
2025-09-07 146.437807 218.814620 333.058469 536.177698 911.081773 1626.405884 3251.652359
2025-09-14 135.277496 205.411089 318.466292 524.650919 917.511591 1697.326726 3564.884656
2025-09-21 127.253268 196.355107 310.124557 523.029423 942.123242 1808.838568 4003.238027
2025-09-28 116.542759 181.990329 291.456697 500.322561 921.766065 1821.260182 4199.856578
2025-10-05 113.632123 180.690422 295.578504 521.420727 994.956066 2056.996198 5068.058388
2025-10-12 111.199197 180.006560 300.729313 545.221540 1078.188540 2336.100197 6174.296067
2025-10-19 106.073702 174.142686 295.841181 548.251314 1116.047218 2513.461130 7048.390998
2025-10-26 99.148334 164.536863 283.148387 533.735377 1111.443509 2581.113456 7593.319706
2025-11-02 93.336245 156.544658 272.854125 523.125601 1114.482607 2670.188006 8254.255608
2025-11-09 91.155958 155.065589 274.937618 539.326681 1185.301814 2965.039557 9829.497840
2025-11-16 87.094404 149.770130 269.070239 537.281343 1209.971067 3132.418918 10991.855156
2025-11-23 82.627247 143.409583 260.573970 528.365765 1215.454974 3243.252645 11976.807230
2025-11-30 79.635330 139.685845 257.124184 530.695715 1251.409040 3460.376986 13586.666553
2025-12-07 75.533884 133.548155 248.246050 519.311498 1247.973057 3547.395962 14618.053984
2025-12-14 72.628170 129.591482 243.637073 517.710003 1272.046847 3735.970063 16319.357781